Finance articles from X
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Money as Energy: A Paradigm Shift in Economic Value - Part I
Introduction Money is often seen as an abstract construct, but at its core it can be viewed as a form of stored energy. "Maybe there won't even be money in the future. Money might be measured in
"I AM AN (INSERT SILLY STYLE) TRADER"
One of the biggest structural leaks in retail is the need to turn trading into an identity. Everywhere you look you see people leading with labels, “Scalper”, “Elliott Wave”, “Supply and Demand
Building for everyone, Create like an expert, Partner with elites.
Got to watch the amazing session between Wormhole and Fogo co-founders. An excellent discussion, I'd say: these are the thoughts I picked up, most especially from the constructive questions of the
Crypto Exodus: Why Capital Is Leaving Bitcoin
Bitcoin was never the future of money. It was a battering ram in a regulatory war. Now that war is wrapping up, and the capital that built it is quietly leaving. For 17 years we convinced ourselves
The Geography of Crypto Scams: Why No Region Is Innocent and Every User Deserves Better
In the early days of cryptocurrency, many believed that crypto fraud was simply the cost of innovation and that “rug pulls” or “exit scams” were limited to a few bad actors in unregulated corners of
Some thoughts on AI
Gemini 3 shows that scaling laws for pretraining are intact. This is the most important AI datapoint since the release of o1. This means that Blackwell models are likely to show a significant increase
We (Still) Live in a World of Dollars
We live in a world of dollars. Not pounds, not yen, not RMB. Dollars. For Americans it’s obvious: coffee, rent, the expenses that underpin life are all in dollars. For everyone else, daily expenses
How to Distinguish a Professional Trader from a Gambler
In this article, I want to walk you through the profiles of both profitable and less successful traders so you can better understand behavior and profit-generation strategies on Polymarket over the
So you want to be a trader?
Most people here that trade don’t actually want to “trade for a living" if they knew what that meant. They want to trade, hit a big number, and then coast. Different thing entirely. If you’ve done
How to cope with round-tripping generational wealth multiple times
You are in your 30s now. Markets are bleeding again. Everyone and their mother is calling for a bear market so dreadful, the Black Plague would look tame in comparison. But you promised yourself this
Early beginnings - 100% True.
This is the tale of how I made 75 million dollars at 33 during the crash of 1929, and how it wasn’t luck, and it wasn’t magic, it was structure, discipline, and the refusal to believe what everyone
Epilogue: How I Got Here
Being Early Is Expensive. Being Wrong Is Fatal. Contrary to what you might read in my replies online, I didn’t start off as a China hawk. When I left the big fund, China wasn’t even on my radar. My
Wake Up To Reality
We're going to poke holes in a lot of things that people inherently subscribe to when they first join markets. Everything we discuss will be backed by logic, or fact. Having a deeper understanding
What's the point of Crypto AI Agents?
It's been a year since the start of the AI agent run back in Q4/2024, back when @virtuals_io spearheaded "AI Agent Tokenization" where AI apps/agents get paired with a fair-launched token. Time flies.
Gold is the Safest Money
Recently, a lot of people asked me a lot of questions about gold, so I invited anyone who cared to ask me questions about gold to do so, and I answered most of them. Then I put them into both an FAQs
life lessons from trading
1) Traders get paid to guess where money will move. 2) There are many ways people win guessing games: Some people read new information quickly Some people send guesses quickly Some people process new
My Answers to Your Questions about Gold
Thank you for all the great questions about gold. I'm trying to answer as many as I can, and I'll be sharing my replies as I have them in this article. You seem to look at gold and the gold price
No Altseason for People Who Refuse to Evolve
People will not like this. Most will get triggered halfway and quit reading because truth is uncomfortable. But I am not here to comfort anyone. I am here to break delusion. If you are still waiting
How I trade - for those who are interested
Me as a trader I have supported my family and built my net worth as a commodity trader since 1975. It took me until late 1979 to become profitable, but I have been so ever since with four losing years
A Technical Typology of Prediction Markets: Mechanics and Tradeoffs
Prediction markets existed long before the current blockchain era, but it was with the emergence of Polymarket that they truly broke through into the mainstream. Since its launch in 2020,
In Case You Missed My Ask Me Anything
My thanks to all of you for the great questions in my latest Reddit AMA. I loved the opportunity to exchange thoughts about life, work, the changing world order, markets, and the Big Cycles and
How I Built Mid 7 Figures of Wealth from Crypto
i want to be preface this article by saying that my story isn't a "zero to millions then got liquidated and made it all back with glory making 10000x on leverage or memecoins" it's a story of
trading the MetaGame: in pursuit of narratives
"Then he looked at me like the way a father would look at a child. And he said to me, young man, don't ever come between a man and his meal." - Dave Chappelle Tokens go up because people buy them. If
Hypergamblification as a Positive-Sum Financial Primitive
For centuries, gambling has been framed as a negative-sum pursuit. The house always won, extracting value from both sides of every wager. From state lotteries to Las Vegas casinos, gambling functioned
The Rise of Real Internet Capital Markets
The Current State of ICMs Internet Capital Markets (ICMs) were built on the premise of opening investing to everyone. Instead most tokens still trade in a parallel universe, decoupled from the
How to go from 3 figures to over 7 figures (real):
Turning $300 to over 7 figures, you hear it all the time, but Grant (@Grantblocmates) has actually done it, not only that he’s one of the few people to hit real 100x’s on multiple occasions this cycle
The Cost of Confirmation
Introduction Confirmation is a nebulous concept in trading. It is often presented as a risk-free way to enter a trade. At first glance, it seems quite sensible. After all, buying a dip when the market
What's Happening to our Money?
Your money has been losing a secret, decades-long war. Let's take a quick trip around the world to survey the damage. Venezuela Let's say you happened to be born in vibrant Venezuela. Over the last
Defending the Value of Money
The argument between Donald Trump and Jay Powell is about the value of money. As previously explained, when there is too much debt and borrowing, the classic way of dealing with it is to push real
The Scarcity Trap
Not financial advice. I've held my ETH position at relative breakeven for almost two years. Dead money. No movement. Just sitting there like a zombie in my portfolio while the rest of the market ran
The Two Sides of ETH
Ethereum is winning. ETH investors still aren't. Here's how we fix that. 👉Read the full article on Bankless As you might have noticed, I have been a bit more tempered in my stance on $ETH lately.
life lessons from poker
There are two ways we miscalibrate risk. We risk too much on things that are low conviction We risk too little on things that are high conviction I learned these lessons in poker and in trading and
What's Going On: How to Get Rich
Alpha First: Maximize your human capital - get a high-paying job and work your ass off. Your career is now your best inflation hedge. Rotate out of traditional financial assets into uncorrelated
White Swans
Some of you are already aware, but I got absolutely destroyed during the Covid drop in March 2020. I’m going to be incredibly transparent, and hopefully that helps someone here today. But first, you